Saturday, July 11, 2015

114 days to November 3 / ELECTION PREDICTIONS for 2016 Medford, Massachusets

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114 days to Medford Election 2015
Click here for the Countdown - time and date
http://www.timeanddate.com/countdown/generic?iso=20151103T00&p0=43&msg=Medford+Election+2015+November+3%2C+2015


OUR JUNE 29th Election Guide
http://medfordinformationcentral.blogspot.com/2015/06/0keefe-to-run-for-city-council-good.html

19th person pulls for City Council
http://medfordinformationcentral.blogspot.com/2015/07/19th-person-pulls-for-council-lenore-j.html



CITY COUNCIL OF MEDFORD, 2016

The first seven are - as of July 11, 2015, most likely to obtain a position on the 7 seat city council of Medford, Massachusetts.  

The political winds change weekly, so this - no doubt - will fluctuate over the coming months.
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JOHN FALCO - Falco has a huge base, is known as an all-around nice guy, his one flaw is his allegiance to Mayor Michael J. McGlynn.

With McGlynn out of office, will Falco be independent from the "Emperor?"
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BILL O'KEEFE:   Attorney O'Keefe should have won his school committee seat twice in a row.  It was a slim margin that kept him out. He won't make that mistake twice.

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NEIL OSBORNE: I want to like Neil.   

BUT, when there are serious allegations of Jeannie Martin running around shilling for him with all her nonsense about racism in Medford and how she wants to help the Medford Police (Jeannie told me to never trust the police, so there's the hypocrisy right out of the...the...mouths of babes and the delusional...) ....yikes!   The one thing Jeannie Martin has going for her is that she will be the first person to tell you she's as mad as a hatter. 

Still, Neil has a chance.  He does have the problem of being too close to McGlynn, but public perception is not in line with that stark reality.  Osborne, of course,  could and should stick the knife in McGlynn's back.  Just don't expect him to.
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PHYLLIS FEDERICO:  Let's see if she puts the signatures in by the 14th.   Rumor mill is buzzing the Federico is the "sleeper" in this campaign and can come out of nowhere.
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GEORGE SCARPELLI:   Allegedly Mike McGlynn stuck it to Scarpelli and put the knife in deep and hard.   They previously marched in lock-step, which is why we wonder if it is not a ploy or some ruse to play like he is distancing himself from McGlynn.  For the eyes of the voters.   

Some in-the-know assure me that the romance between McGlynn and Scarpelli is OVER - 

                              O - V - E - R 

and that you can file it under "irreconcilable differences" - it's just that the judge (the public) won't issue a no-fault divorce in this case.
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MARK CROWLEY:   Crowley should be on the city council now.  The 30-40K that Adam Knight had with which to splash his name around town resulted in the biggest joke since Camuso - that being Knight, the village idiot, on the council.  Voters didn't like the taste of it, no matter how many "congratulations" the clown gave out in the past year and a half.
  
Mark Crowley knows what it takes to win. 
Like O'Keefe, he won't underestimate the shenanigans in this city the second time around. 
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BREANNA LUNGO-KOEHN - the only woman veteran* of the council running for the position again is a lawyer, knows this city, and could be the only holdover from the previous city council.  

In a year where the voters may seek total change, being a woman will be a key factor, along with the fact that voters will want at least one holdover from the previous regime.

*Phyllis Federico, Leonore J. Eforo  and Lungo-Koehn make it 3 women running for the council.
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Runners Up


Michael Marks:  This is the year Marks should have run for Mayor.   He didn't.  The voters feel like they were on a date with someone they like and he wasn't ready to commit. 

He's the boyfriend that hangs around for 15 years not offering up the wedding ring...and eventually the girl gets tired of waiting.
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Rick Caraviello

Mr. Caraviello would like to run for Mayor.
Voters can sense when someone kinda sorta wants second prize but had their eyes on first prize.  Do not underestimate Caraviello's massive base with the business community and with various civic groups in Medford, but voters also see that Caraviello has not fought for one single thing that a man of convictions fights for.



Marks and Caraviello could get re-elected. They also can lose in a field that currently has 19 candidates.   Twelve people are going to be left in the dust.

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MIKE RUGGIERO  -  of the high profile new candidates, Ruggiero and Mario Martin really believe they are going to win.   Going for city council without being elected to the school committee first, in Medford, is like trying to fly a Boeing 777 after two months driving a 2015 Volkswagen Tiguan.  
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MARIO MARTIN:  Like Mike Ruggiero, a nice enough guy, but when they speak at the council - their only time on the air - they have - and this is said with all due respect as I actually like them - they have stumbled so poorly out of the gate they make Knight and Camuso look like elder statesmen by comparison.

Perception is key in an election and unless they can recover in September as people are away on vacation in July and August - with only two council meetings - the first impressions of individuals not used to speaking in a microphone or giggling or reading notes, it is just not going to play well.     

Also, when a great, seasoned candidate like Jimmy Morse hired a novice to run his campaign it was a disaster.  When Bob Cappucci hired someone to run his campaign who declared that they were waging war against Obama (???) when the ballot said Pat Jehlen, the entire thing became a bizarre comedy with Pat Jehlen doing her nails during the Winchester debate cablecast on WinCAM.    
Jehlen yawwwnnned throughout the debate we hear, and Cappucci kept throwing punches.   Jehlen smiled like Yoda, and come election day she crushed Cappucci with embarrassing numbers.

Look, I like Robert Cappucci, we've had our little spats but understand each other.   You don't have some campaign manager proclaiming Obama is the anti-christ when you are in a local election, unless, of course,  you have thrown in the towel.

They were buzzing on the Cappucci facebook page things like "BOB DESTROYED PAT JEHLEN AT THE DEBATE" (paraphrased.)  ho hum, they were all cheering that they had a chance...all three of them.  

Pat yawned, did her nails, and didn't lose any sleep...or the election.   Just as this news outlet reported.  Way in advance.

The Republican party should have focused on removing Camuso to get Crowley on the council this past year.  Which I told Republican party heads in no uncertain terms.  

Find one of the hundreds and hundreds of Camuso fumbles, grab your Top 10 list, embarrass the jackass on a daily basis, and knock him out of the council seat he never deserved in the first place.  Then Crowley takes the seat that Crowley had legitimately won!

But of course why listen to logic when lunacy like "Defeat Obama" was the mantra of the Cappucci Campaign. You can't make this stuff up.

Crowley would be already on the council and in a position to go for Jehlen's seat.   But why listen to Medford Info Central when the goal is to defeat Obama - a man who is not running for election!   Ted Cruz lunacy does not work on the local level.   Just ask Sarah Palin.  And put in the mandatory ear plugs when she attempts to respond.
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2nd point on MARIO MARTIN:  

Mario's job is quite simple.  It's not to be on the city council, it is to make sure Adam Knight can't slide in again. IF Martin succeeds in keeping Knight OFF of the council in 2016/2017, it will be a huge victory and set Martin up to be a contender in the 2017 election.
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FRED DELLO RUSSO JR.   Look at it this way, Freddy, the council is just your walking advertisement for "the family business" and you are so bored with it!  Wouldn't you rather be in Vegas playing the slots with all those great looking men?  What plays in Vegas stays in Vegas. What happens in Medford goes directly up on Medford Info Central! 

Of course we will miss you, you're almost as easy a target as Paul "broad side of the barn" Camuso.    Good luck out there in Nevada and send some photos.   On second thought, don't!
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Chris Daveta, Leonore J. Eforo, Stephen M.  Taliaferro, Neil E. McSweeney, John J. Buckley, Brian Chamberlain, get ready for the Bob Fitzpatrick "Always the bridesmaid, never the bride" award.  But things can change...this is just our crystal ball look into election 2015 for 7/11/15.

We reserve the right to change our mind as the political winds blow over the next 114 days.



John J. Buckley
http://medfordinformationcentral.blogspot.com/2015/06/john-j-buckley-to-run-for-city-council.html


Neil E. McSweeney

http://medfordinformationcentral.blogspot.com/2015/06/candidate-neil-e-mcsweeney-for-city.html



 


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